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ARG Аргентина - Резервная лига · Матч ·

Реал Пилар - Резерв vs Экскурсионистас - Резерв

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев46%
Ничья27%
Победа гостей27%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Реал Пилар - РезервЭкскурсионистас - Резерв
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше55% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
46% / 27% / 27%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Экскурсионистас - Резерв win (26.8%)Двойной шанс1X73.2%1.37
Больше 55% · Меньше 45%Goals 2.5Больше55%1.82
Да 56% · Нет 44%Обе забьютДа56%1.79
2.90 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.1 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapРеал Пилар - Резерв winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Реал Пилар - Резерв win46%2.171.9545.8%+0.2 pp
Ничья27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
Экскурсионистас - Резерв win27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Реал Пилар - Резерв1.77

Хозяева share of expected goals 61%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 55% · Меньше 45%

Экскурсионистас - Резерв1.13

Гости share of expected goals 39%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 56% · Нет 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Реал Пилар - Резерв

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева won 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Экскурсионистас - Резерв

2.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Баллы11

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
27%
9
Points from supplied form
11
1.77
Expected goals
1.13
Реал Пилар - РезервЭкскурсионистас - Резерв
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Реал Пилар - Резерв signalХозяева won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Экскурсионистас - Резерв signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Реал Пилар - Резерв vs Экскурсионистас - Резерв FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Реал Пилар - Резерв выигрыш 46%,Ничья 27%,Экскурсионистас - Резерв выигрыш 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · ТБ 2.5 55% · Current selection Больше