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ARG Argentyna - Liga rezerwowa · Mecz ·

Real Pilar - Rezerwa vs Excursionistas - Rezerwa

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy46%
Remis27%
Wygrana gości27%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Real Pilar - RezerwaExcursionistas - Rezerwa
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej55% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
46% / 27% / 27%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Excursionistas - Rezerwa win (26.8%)Podwójna szansa1X73.2%1.37
Powyżej 55% · Poniżej 45%Goals 2.5Powyżej55%1.82
Tak 56% · Nie 44%Obie drużyny strzeląTak56%1.79
2.90 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
9.1 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapReal Pilar - Rezerwa winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Real Pilar - Rezerwa win46%2.171.9545.8%+0.2 pp
Remis27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
Excursionistas - Rezerwa win27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real Pilar - Rezerwa1.77

Gospodarze share of expected goals 61%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 55% · Poniżej 45%

Excursionistas - Rezerwa1.13

Goście share of expected goals 39%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 56% · Nie 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Real Pilar - Rezerwa

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkty9

SignalGospodarze won 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Excursionistas - Rezerwa

2.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkty11

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
27%
9
Points from supplied form
11
1.77
Expected goals
1.13
Real Pilar - RezerwaExcursionistas - Rezerwa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real Pilar - Rezerwa signalGospodarze won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Excursionistas - Rezerwa signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Real Pilar - Rezerwa vs Excursionistas - Rezerwa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real Pilar - Rezerwa wygrana 46%,Remis 27%,Excursionistas - Rezerwa wygrana 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Powyżej 2.5 55% · Current selection Powyżej