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POL Polska - 3. Liga · Mecz ·

MKS Star Starachowice vs Czarni Połaniec

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.22 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy40%
Remis25%
Wygrana gości35%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy40% selection probability
Projected score1–1MKS Star StarachowiceCzarni Połaniec
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej62% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
40% / 25% / 35%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.3%)Podwójna szansa1274.7%1.34
Powyżej 38% · Poniżej 62%Goals 2.5Poniżej62%1.61
Tak 45% · Nie 55%Obie drużyny strzeląNie55%1.82
2.22 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
10.5 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapMKS Star Starachowice winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MKS Star Starachowice win40%2.502.2040.9%-0.9 pp
Remis25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Czarni Połaniec win35%2.862.6334.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MKS Star Starachowice1.03

Gospodarze share of expected goals 46.4%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 38% · Poniżej 62%

Czarni Połaniec1.19

Goście share of expected goals 53.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 45% · Nie 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

MKS Star Starachowice

0.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkty2

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Czarni Połaniec

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
35%
2
Points from supplied form
4
1.03
Expected goals
1.19
MKS Star StarachowiceCzarni Połaniec
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MKS Star Starachowice signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Czarni Połaniec signalGospodarze failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

MKS Star Starachowice vs Czarni Połaniec FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MKS Star Starachowice wygrana 40%,Remis 25%,Czarni Połaniec wygrana 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · Powyżej 2.5 38% · Current selection Poniżej