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POL Pologne - III Liga · Match ·

Star Starachowice vs Czarni Polaniec

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.22 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile40%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur35%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Star StarachowiceCzarni Polaniec
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de62% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
40% / 25% / 35%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.3%)Double chance1274.7%1.34
Plus de 38% · Moins de 62%Goals 2.5Moins de62%1.61
Oui 45% · Non 55%Les deux équipes marquentNon55%1.82
2.22 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
10.5 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapStar Starachowice winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Star Starachowice win40%2.502.2040.9%-0.9 pp
Nul25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Czarni Polaniec win35%2.862.6334.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Star Starachowice1.03

Domicile share of expected goals 46.4%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 38% · Moins de 62%

Czarni Polaniec1.19

Extérieur share of expected goals 53.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 45% · Non 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Star Starachowice

0.40pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Czarni Polaniec

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gagné probability excluding draw
35%
2
Points from supplied form
4
1.03
Expected goals
1.19
Star StarachowiceCzarni Polaniec
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Star Starachowice signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Czarni Polaniec signalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Star Starachowice vs Czarni Polaniec FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Star Starachowice victoire 40%,Nul 25%,Czarni Polaniec victoire 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · Plus de 2.5 38% · Current selection Moins de