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POL ポーランド IIIリーガ · 試合 ·

スター・スタラホビツェ vs ツァルニ・ポラニェツ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.22 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利40%
引き分け25%
アウェイ勝利35%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利40% selection probability
Projected score1–1スター・スタラホビツェツァルニ・ポラニェツ
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー62% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
40% / 25% / 35%試合結果ホーム勝利40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.3%)ダブルチャンス1274.7%1.34
オーバー 38% · アンダー 62%Goals 2.5アンダー62%1.61
はい 45% · いいえ 55%両チーム得点いいえ55%1.82
2.22 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
10.5 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapスター・スタラホビツェ winDifference-0.9 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
スター・スタラホビツェ win40%2.502.2040.9%-0.9 pp
引き分け25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
ツァルニ・ポラニェツ win35%2.862.6334.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

スター・スタラホビツェ1.03

ホーム share of expected goals 46.4%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 38% · アンダー 62%

ツァルニ・ポラニェツ1.19

アウェイ share of expected goals 53.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 45% · いいえ 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

スター・スタラホビツェ

0.40pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn2Losses3ポイント2

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ツァルニ・ポラニェツ

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
勝ち probability excluding draw
35%
2
Points from supplied form
4
1.03
Expected goals
1.19
スター・スタラホビツェツァルニ・ポラニェツ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01スター・スタラホビツェ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ツァルニ・ポラニェツ signalホーム failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

スター・スタラホビツェ vs ツァルニ・ポラニェツ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

スター・スタラホビツェ 勝ち 40%,引き分け 25%,ツァルニ・ポラニェツ 勝ち 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · オーバー 2.5 38% · Current selection アンダー