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POL Pologne - III Liga · Match ·

Elana Torun vs Unia Swarzedz

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.48 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile36%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur40%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Elana TorunUnia Swarzedz
Expected goals2.48Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de55% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
36% / 25% / 40%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.5%)Double chance1275.5%1.32
Plus de 45% · Moins de 55%Goals 2.5Moins de55%1.82
Oui 51% · Non 49%Les deux équipes marquentOui51%1.96
2.48 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapElana Torun winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Elana Torun win36%2.782.5535.1%+0.9 pp
Nul25%4.003.7024.2%+0.8 pp
Unia Swarzedz win40%2.502.2040.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Elana Torun1.32

Domicile share of expected goals 53.2%

Total expected goals2.48Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 45% · Moins de 55%

Unia Swarzedz1.16

Extérieur share of expected goals 46.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 51% · Non 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Elana Torun

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Unia Swarzedz

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Gagné probability excluding draw
40%
8
Points from supplied form
6
1.32
Expected goals
1.16
Elana TorunUnia Swarzedz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Elana Torun signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Unia Swarzedz signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Elana Torun vs Unia Swarzedz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Elana Torun victoire 36%,Nul 25%,Unia Swarzedz victoire 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.48 · Plus de 2.5 45% · Current selection Moins de