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POL Польша - Лига III · Матч ·

Элана Торунь vs Уния Сважендз

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.48 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев36%
Ничья25%
Победа гостей40%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Элана ТоруньУния Сважендз
Expected goals2.48Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше55% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
36% / 25% / 40%Исход матчаПобеда гостей40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.5%)Двойной шанс1275.5%1.32
Больше 45% · Меньше 55%Goals 2.5Меньше55%1.82
Да 51% · Нет 49%Обе забьютДа51%1.96
2.48 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
10.1 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapЭлана Торунь winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Элана Торунь win36%2.782.5535.1%+0.9 pp
Ничья25%4.003.7024.2%+0.8 pp
Уния Сважендз win40%2.502.2040.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Элана Торунь1.32

Хозяева share of expected goals 53.2%

Total expected goals2.48Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 45% · Меньше 55%

Уния Сважендз1.16

Гости share of expected goals 46.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 51% · Нет 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Элана Торунь

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Уния Сважендз

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
40%
8
Points from supplied form
6
1.32
Expected goals
1.16
Элана ТоруньУния Сважендз
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Элана Торунь signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Уния Сважендз signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Элана Торунь vs Уния Сважендз FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Элана Торунь выигрыш 36%,Ничья 25%,Уния Сважендз выигрыш 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.48 · ТБ 2.5 45% · Current selection Меньше