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POL Polonia - III Liga · Meci ·

Elana Torun vs Unia Swarzedz

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.48 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde36%
Egal25%
Victorie oaspeți40%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Elana TorunUnia Swarzedz
Expected goals2.48Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub55% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
36% / 25% / 40%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.5%)Șansă dublă1275.5%1.32
Peste 45% · Sub 55%Goals 2.5Sub55%1.82
Da 51% · Nu 49%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa51%1.96
2.48 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapElana Torun winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Elana Torun win36%2.782.5535.1%+0.9 pp
Egal25%4.003.7024.2%+0.8 pp
Unia Swarzedz win40%2.502.2040.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Elana Torun1.32

Gazde share of expected goals 53.2%

Total expected goals2.48Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 45% · Sub 55%

Unia Swarzedz1.16

Oaspeți share of expected goals 46.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 51% · Nu 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Elana Torun

1.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puncte8

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Unia Swarzedz

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Câștig probability excluding draw
40%
8
Points from supplied form
6
1.32
Expected goals
1.16
Elana TorunUnia Swarzedz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Elana Torun signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Unia Swarzedz signalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Elana Torun vs Unia Swarzedz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Elana Torun câștig 36%,Egal 25%,Unia Swarzedz câștig 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.48 · Peste 2.5 45% · Current selection Sub