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POL Polonia - III Liga · Meci ·

Polonia Sroda Wlkp vs Blekitni Stargard

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–13.11 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde56%
Egal23%
Victorie oaspeți21%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Polonia Sroda WlkpBlekitni Stargard
Expected goals3.11Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste60% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
56% / 23% / 21%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Blekitni Stargard win (21.5%)Șansă dublă1X78.5%1.27
Peste 60% · Sub 40%Goals 2.5Peste60%1.67
Da 55% · Nu 45%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa55%1.82
3.11 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
10.6 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.6%Largest probability gapPolonia Sroda Wlkp winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Polonia Sroda Wlkp win56%1.791.6554.8%+1.2 pp
Egal23%4.353.9023.2%-0.2 pp
Blekitni Stargard win21%4.764.1022%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polonia Sroda Wlkp2.15

Gazde share of expected goals 69.1%

Total expected goals3.11Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 60% · Sub 40%

Blekitni Stargard0.96

Oaspeți share of expected goals 30.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 55% · Nu 45%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Polonia Sroda Wlkp

2.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puncte12

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Blekitni Stargard

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Câștig probability excluding draw
21%
12
Points from supplied form
10
2.15
Expected goals
0.96
Polonia Sroda WlkpBlekitni Stargard
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polonia Sroda Wlkp signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Blekitni Stargard signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Polonia Sroda Wlkp vs Blekitni Stargard FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polonia Sroda Wlkp câștig 56%,Egal 23%,Blekitni Stargard câștig 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · Peste 2.5 60% · Current selection Peste