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POL Polónia - 3.ª Liga · Partida ·

Polonia Środa Wlkp vs Blekitni Stargard

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–13.11 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa56%
Empate23%
Vitória visitante21%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Polonia Środa WlkpBlekitni Stargard
Expected goals3.11Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima60% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
56% / 23% / 21%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Blekitni Stargard win (21.5%)Dupla Chance1X78.5%1.27
Acima 60% · Abaixo 40%Goals 2.5Acima60%1.67
Sim 55% · Não 45%Ambas as equipes marcamSim55%1.82
3.11 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
10.6 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.6%Largest probability gapPolonia Środa Wlkp winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Polonia Środa Wlkp win56%1.791.6554.8%+1.2 pp
Empate23%4.353.9023.2%-0.2 pp
Blekitni Stargard win21%4.764.1022%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polonia Środa Wlkp2.15

Mandante share of expected goals 69.1%

Total expected goals3.11Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 60% · Abaixo 40%

Blekitni Stargard0.96

Visitante share of expected goals 30.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 55% · Não 45%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Polonia Środa Wlkp

2.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Pontos12

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Blekitni Stargard

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
21%
12
Points from supplied form
10
2.15
Expected goals
0.96
Polonia Środa WlkpBlekitni Stargard
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polonia Środa Wlkp signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Blekitni Stargard signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Polonia Środa Wlkp vs Blekitni Stargard FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polonia Środa Wlkp ganhou 56%,Empate 23%,Blekitni Stargard ganhou 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · Acima 2.5 60% · Current selection Acima