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POL Polen - III Liga · Match ·

Polonia Sroda Wlkp vs Blekitni Stargard

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.11 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger56%
Oavgjort23%
Bortaseger21%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Polonia Sroda WlkpBlekitni Stargard
Expected goals3.11Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över60% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
56% / 23% / 21%MatchresultatHemmaseger56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Blekitni Stargard win (21.5%)Dubbelchans1X78.5%1.27
Över 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Över60%1.67
Ja 55% · Nej 45%Båda lagen gör målJa55%1.82
3.11 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.6 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.6%Largest probability gapPolonia Sroda Wlkp winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Polonia Sroda Wlkp win56%1.791.6554.8%+1.2 pp
Oavgjort23%4.353.9023.2%-0.2 pp
Blekitni Stargard win21%4.764.1022%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polonia Sroda Wlkp2.15

Hemma share of expected goals 69.1%

Total expected goals3.11Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 60% · Under 40%

Blekitni Stargard0.96

Borta share of expected goals 30.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nej 45%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Polonia Sroda Wlkp

2.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Poäng12

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Blekitni Stargard

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
21%
12
Points from supplied form
10
2.15
Expected goals
0.96
Polonia Sroda WlkpBlekitni Stargard
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polonia Sroda Wlkp signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Blekitni Stargard signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Polonia Sroda Wlkp vs Blekitni Stargard FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polonia Sroda Wlkp vunnen 56%,Oavgjort 23%,Blekitni Stargard vunnen 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · Över 2.5 60% · Current selection Över