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POL Polen - III Liga · Match ·

Elana Torun vs Unia Swarzedz

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.48 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger36%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger40%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Elana TorunUnia Swarzedz
Expected goals2.48Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under55% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
36% / 25% / 40%MatchresultatBortaseger40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.5%)Dubbelchans1275.5%1.32
Över 45% · Under 55%Goals 2.5Under55%1.82
Ja 51% · Nej 49%Båda lagen gör målJa51%1.96
2.48 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.1 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapElana Torun winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Elana Torun win36%2.782.5535.1%+0.9 pp
Oavgjort25%4.003.7024.2%+0.8 pp
Unia Swarzedz win40%2.502.2040.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Elana Torun1.32

Hemma share of expected goals 53.2%

Total expected goals2.48Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 45% · Under 55%

Unia Swarzedz1.16

Borta share of expected goals 46.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nej 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Elana Torun

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Unia Swarzedz

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
40%
8
Points from supplied form
6
1.32
Expected goals
1.16
Elana TorunUnia Swarzedz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Elana Torun signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Unia Swarzedz signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Elana Torun vs Unia Swarzedz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Elana Torun vunnen 36%,Oavgjort 25%,Unia Swarzedz vunnen 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.48 · Över 2.5 45% · Current selection Under