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POL Poland III Liga · Kamp ·

Polonia Sroda Wlkp vs Blekitni Stargard

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.11 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier56%
Uavgjort23%
Borteseier21%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Polonia Sroda WlkpBlekitni Stargard
Expected goals3.11Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over60% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
56% / 23% / 21%KampresultatHjemmeseier56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Blekitni Stargard win (21.5%)Dobbel sjanse1X78.5%1.27
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Ja 55% · Nei 45%Begge lag scorerJa55%1.82
3.11 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.6 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.6%Largest probability gapPolonia Sroda Wlkp winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Polonia Sroda Wlkp win56%1.791.6554.8%+1.2 pp
Uavgjort23%4.353.9023.2%-0.2 pp
Blekitni Stargard win21%4.764.1022%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polonia Sroda Wlkp2.15

Hjemme share of expected goals 69.1%

Total expected goals3.11Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%

Blekitni Stargard0.96

Borte share of expected goals 30.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nei 45%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Polonia Sroda Wlkp

2.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Poeng12

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Blekitni Stargard

2.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poeng10

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
21%
12
Points from supplied form
10
2.15
Expected goals
0.96
Polonia Sroda WlkpBlekitni Stargard
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polonia Sroda Wlkp signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Blekitni Stargard signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Polonia Sroda Wlkp vs Blekitni Stargard FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polonia Sroda Wlkp vunnet 56%,Uavgjort 23%,Blekitni Stargard vunnet 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over