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POL Польша - Лига III · Матч ·

Полония Срода-Великополска vs Блекитни Старгард

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.11 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев56%
Ничья23%
Победа гостей21%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Полония Срода-ВеликополскаБлекитни Старгард
Expected goals3.11Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше60% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
56% / 23% / 21%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Блекитни Старгард win (21.5%)Двойной шанс1X78.5%1.27
Больше 60% · Меньше 40%Goals 2.5Больше60%1.67
Да 55% · Нет 45%Обе забьютДа55%1.82
3.11 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
10.6 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.6%Largest probability gapПолония Срода-Великополска winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Полония Срода-Великополска win56%1.791.6554.8%+1.2 pp
Ничья23%4.353.9023.2%-0.2 pp
Блекитни Старгард win21%4.764.1022%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Полония Срода-Великополска2.15

Хозяева share of expected goals 69.1%

Total expected goals3.11Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 60% · Меньше 40%

Блекитни Старгард0.96

Гости share of expected goals 30.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 55% · Нет 45%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Полония Срода-Великополска

2.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Баллы12

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Блекитни Старгард

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
21%
12
Points from supplied form
10
2.15
Expected goals
0.96
Полония Срода-ВеликополскаБлекитни Старгард
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Полония Срода-Великополска signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Блекитни Старгард signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Полония Срода-Великополска vs Блекитни Старгард FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Полония Срода-Великополска выигрыш 56%,Ничья 23%,Блекитни Старгард выигрыш 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · ТБ 2.5 60% · Current selection Больше