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POL Polonia - III Liga · Meci ·

Kotwica Kornik vs Baltyk Koszalin

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–23.18 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde38%
Egal26%
Victorie oaspeți35%
Market-based forecastVictorie gazdeTier B · 38% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde38% selection probability
Projected score2–2Kotwica KornikBaltyk Koszalin
Expected goals3.18Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste61% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
38% / 26% / 35%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Șansă dublă1273.9%1.35
Peste 61% · Sub 39%Goals 2.5Peste61%1.64
Da 64% · Nu 36%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa64%1.56
3.18 total expected goalsScor corect2–2
10.4 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNiciuna
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Kotwica Kornik win38%2.632.3837.7%
Egal26%3.853.4026.4%
Baltyk Koszalin win35%2.862.5035.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Kotwica Kornik1.65

Gazde share of expected goals 51.9%

Total expected goals3.18Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 61% · Sub 39%

Baltyk Koszalin1.53

Oaspeți share of expected goals 48.1%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitDa 64% · Nu 36%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Kotwica Kornik

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Baltyk Koszalin

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Câștig probability excluding draw
35%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.65
Expected goals
1.53
Kotwica KornikBaltyk Koszalin
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Kotwica Kornik signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Baltyk Koszalin signalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Kotwica Kornik vs Baltyk Koszalin FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Kotwica Kornik câștig 38%,Egal 26%,Baltyk Koszalin câștig 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.18 · Peste 2.5 61% · Current selection Peste