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POL Poland III Liga · Fixture ·

Kotwica Kornik vs Baltyk Koszalin

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.18 expected goals
Away form
Home win38%
Draw26%
Away win35%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 38% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win38% selection probability
Projected score2–2Kotwica KornikBaltyk Koszalin
Expected goals3.18Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over61% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
38% / 26% / 35%Match resultHome win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Double chance1273.9%1.35
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56
3.18 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
10.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Kotwica Kornik win38%2.632.3837.7%
Draw26%3.853.4026.4%
Baltyk Koszalin win35%2.862.5035.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Kotwica Kornik1.65

Home share of expected goals 51.9%

Total expected goals3.18Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%

Baltyk Koszalin1.53

Away share of expected goals 48.1%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Kotwica Kornik

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Baltyk Koszalin

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Win probability excluding draw
35%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.65
Expected goals
1.53
Kotwica KornikBaltyk Koszalin
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Kotwica Kornik signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Baltyk Koszalin signalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Kotwica Kornik vs Baltyk Koszalin FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Kotwica Kornik win 38%,Draw 26%,Baltyk Koszalin win 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.18 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over