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POL Poland III Liga · Fixture ·

Wislanie Skawina vs KSZO Ostrowiec

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.63 expected goals
Away form
Home win30%
Draw25%
Away win45%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win45% selection probability
Projected score1–2Wislanie SkawinaKSZO Ostrowiec
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
30% / 25% / 45%Match resultAway win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25%)Double chance1275%1.33
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 49% · No 51%Both teams scoreNo51%1.96
2.63 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
10.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapWislanie Skawina winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Wislanie Skawina win30%3.332.9031.1%-1.1 pp
Draw25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
KSZO Ostrowiec win45%2.222.0543.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Wislanie Skawina0.88

Home share of expected goals 33.5%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

KSZO Ostrowiec1.75

Away share of expected goals 66.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Wislanie Skawina

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

KSZO Ostrowiec

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalAway unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Win probability excluding draw
45%
7
Points from supplied form
11
0.88
Expected goals
1.75
Wislanie SkawinaKSZO Ostrowiec
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Wislanie Skawina signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KSZO Ostrowiec signalAway unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Wislanie Skawina vs KSZO Ostrowiec FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Wislanie Skawina win 30%,Draw 25%,KSZO Ostrowiec win 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under