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ARG Argentina - Torneo de Reserva · Partido ·

Villa San Carlos - B vs Argentino Merlo - B

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.68 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local55%
Empate26%
Victoria visitante19%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Villa San Carlos - BArgentino Merlo - B
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de50% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
55% / 26% / 19%Resultado del partidoVictoria local55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Argentino Merlo - B win (19.2%)Doble Oportunidad1X80.8%1.24
Más de 50% · Menos de 50%Goals 2.5Menos de50%2.00
Sí 52% · No 48%Ambos equipos marcan52%1.92
2.68 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
8.5 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapVilla San Carlos - B winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Villa San Carlos - B win55%1.821.6255.4%-0.4 pp
Empate26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
Argentino Merlo - B win19%5.264.7518.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Villa San Carlos - B1.64

Local share of expected goals 61.2%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 50% · Menos de 50%

Argentino Merlo - B1.04

Visitante share of expected goals 38.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Villa San Carlos - B

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Argentino Merlo - B

0.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puntos1

SignalLocal clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Ganado probability excluding draw
19%
7
Points from supplied form
1
1.64
Expected goals
1.04
Villa San Carlos - BArgentino Merlo - B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Villa San Carlos - B signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Argentino Merlo - B signalLocal clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Villa San Carlos - B vs Argentino Merlo - B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Villa San Carlos - B ganada 55%,Empate 26%,Argentino Merlo - B ganada 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Más de 2.5 50% · Current selection Menos de