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ARG Argentina reservide liiga · Mäng ·

Villa San Carlos - reservid vs Argentino Merlo - reservid

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score2–12.68 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit55%
Viik26%
Võõrsilvõit19%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Villa San Carlos - reservidArgentino Merlo - reservid
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alla50% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
55% / 26% / 19%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Argentino Merlo - reservid win (19.2%)Topeltvõimalus1X80.8%1.24
Üle 50% · Alla 50%Goals 2.5Alla50%2.00
Jah 52% · Ei 48%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah52%1.92
2.68 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–1
8.5 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapVilla San Carlos - reservid winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Villa San Carlos - reservid win55%1.821.6255.4%-0.4 pp
Viik26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
Argentino Merlo - reservid win19%5.264.7518.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Villa San Carlos - reservid1.64

Kodu share of expected goals 61.2%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 50% · Alla 50%

Argentino Merlo - reservid1.04

Võõras share of expected goals 38.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJah 52% · Ei 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Villa San Carlos - reservid

1.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punktid7

SignalKodu matches under 2.5: 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Argentino Merlo - reservid

0.20pts / match
Mängitud5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punktid1

SignalKodu clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Võit probability excluding draw
19%
7
Points from supplied form
1
1.64
Expected goals
1.04
Villa San Carlos - reservidArgentino Merlo - reservid
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Villa San Carlos - reservid signalKodu matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Argentino Merlo - reservid signalKodu clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Villa San Carlos - reservid vs Argentino Merlo - reservid FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Villa San Carlos - reservid võit 55%,Viik 26%,Argentino Merlo - reservid võit 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Üle 2.5 50% · Current selection Alla