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ARG Argentine - Ligue des réserves · Match ·

Villa San Carlos - Réserves vs Argentino Merlo - Réserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.68 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile55%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur19%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Villa San Carlos - RéservesArgentino Merlo - Réserves
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de50% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
55% / 26% / 19%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Argentino Merlo - Réserves win (19.2%)Double chance1X80.8%1.24
Plus de 50% · Moins de 50%Goals 2.5Moins de50%2.00
Oui 52% · Non 48%Les deux équipes marquentOui52%1.92
2.68 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
8.5 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapVilla San Carlos - Réserves winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Villa San Carlos - Réserves win55%1.821.6255.4%-0.4 pp
Nul26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
Argentino Merlo - Réserves win19%5.264.7518.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Villa San Carlos - Réserves1.64

Domicile share of expected goals 61.2%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 50% · Moins de 50%

Argentino Merlo - Réserves1.04

Extérieur share of expected goals 38.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 52% · Non 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Villa San Carlos - Réserves

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Argentino Merlo - Réserves

0.20pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Gagné probability excluding draw
19%
7
Points from supplied form
1
1.64
Expected goals
1.04
Villa San Carlos - RéservesArgentino Merlo - Réserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Villa San Carlos - Réserves signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Argentino Merlo - Réserves signalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Villa San Carlos - Réserves vs Argentino Merlo - Réserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Villa San Carlos - Réserves victoire 55%,Nul 26%,Argentino Merlo - Réserves victoire 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Plus de 2.5 50% · Current selection Moins de