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ARG Argentina Reserve League · Maç ·

Villa San Carlos Reserves vs Argentino Merlo Reserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–12.68 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır55%
Beraberlik26%
Deplasman kazanır19%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Villa San Carlos ReservesArgentino Merlo Reserves
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alt50% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
55% / 26% / 19%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Argentino Merlo Reserves win (19.2%)Çifte Şans1X80.8%1.24
Üst 50% · Alt 50%Goals 2.5Alt50%2.00
Evet 52% · Hayır 48%Karşılıklı gol varEvet52%1.92
2.68 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
8.5 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapVilla San Carlos Reserves winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Villa San Carlos Reserves win55%1.821.6255.4%-0.4 pp
Beraberlik26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
Argentino Merlo Reserves win19%5.264.7518.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Villa San Carlos Reserves1.64

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 61.2%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 50% · Alt 50%

Argentino Merlo Reserves1.04

Deplasman share of expected goals 38.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 52% · Hayır 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Villa San Carlos Reserves

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puan7

SignalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Argentino Merlo Reserves

0.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puan1

SignalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
19%
7
Points from supplied form
1
1.64
Expected goals
1.04
Villa San Carlos ReservesArgentino Merlo Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Villa San Carlos Reserves signalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Argentino Merlo Reserves signalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Villa San Carlos Reserves vs Argentino Merlo Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Villa San Carlos Reserves kazanç 55%,Beraberlik 26%,Argentino Merlo Reserves kazanç 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · 2.5 Üst 50% · Current selection Alt