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ARG Argentina - Liga de Rezerve · Meci ·

Villa San Carlos - Rezerve vs Argentino Merlo - Rezerve

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.68 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde55%
Egal26%
Victorie oaspeți19%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Villa San Carlos - RezerveArgentino Merlo - Rezerve
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub50% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
55% / 26% / 19%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Argentino Merlo - Rezerve win (19.2%)Șansă dublă1X80.8%1.24
Peste 50% · Sub 50%Goals 2.5Sub50%2.00
Da 52% · Nu 48%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa52%1.92
2.68 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
8.5 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapVilla San Carlos - Rezerve winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Villa San Carlos - Rezerve win55%1.821.6255.4%-0.4 pp
Egal26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
Argentino Merlo - Rezerve win19%5.264.7518.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Villa San Carlos - Rezerve1.64

Gazde share of expected goals 61.2%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 50% · Sub 50%

Argentino Merlo - Rezerve1.04

Oaspeți share of expected goals 38.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 52% · Nu 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Villa San Carlos - Rezerve

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Argentino Merlo - Rezerve

0.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puncte1

SignalGazde clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Câștig probability excluding draw
19%
7
Points from supplied form
1
1.64
Expected goals
1.04
Villa San Carlos - RezerveArgentino Merlo - Rezerve
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Villa San Carlos - Rezerve signalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Argentino Merlo - Rezerve signalGazde clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Villa San Carlos - Rezerve vs Argentino Merlo - Rezerve FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Villa San Carlos - Rezerve câștig 55%,Egal 26%,Argentino Merlo - Rezerve câștig 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Peste 2.5 50% · Current selection Sub