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ARG Argentinië - Reservecompetitie · Wedstrijd ·

Villa San Carlos - Reserves vs Argentino Merlo - Reserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.68 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst55%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst19%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Villa San Carlos - ReservesArgentino Merlo - Reserves
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder50% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
55% / 26% / 19%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Argentino Merlo - Reserves win (19.2%)Dubbele Kans1X80.8%1.24
Boven 50% · Onder 50%Goals 2.5Onder50%2.00
Ja 52% · Nee 48%Beide teams scorenJa52%1.92
2.68 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapVilla San Carlos - Reserves winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Villa San Carlos - Reserves win55%1.821.6255.4%-0.4 pp
Gelijkspel26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
Argentino Merlo - Reserves win19%5.264.7518.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Villa San Carlos - Reserves1.64

Thuis share of expected goals 61.2%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 50% · Onder 50%

Argentino Merlo - Reserves1.04

Uit share of expected goals 38.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nee 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Villa San Carlos - Reserves

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Argentino Merlo - Reserves

0.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punten1

SignalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
19%
7
Points from supplied form
1
1.64
Expected goals
1.04
Villa San Carlos - ReservesArgentino Merlo - Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Villa San Carlos - Reserves signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Argentino Merlo - Reserves signalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Villa San Carlos - Reserves vs Argentino Merlo - Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Villa San Carlos - Reserves gewonnen 55%,Gelijkspel 26%,Argentino Merlo - Reserves gewonnen 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Boven 2.5 50% · Current selection Onder