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ARG Argentinië - Reservecompetitie · Wedstrijd ·

Deportivo Merlo - Reserves vs Deportivo Armenio - Reserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.25 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst45%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst27%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo Merlo - ReservesDeportivo Armenio - Reserves
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder61% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
45% / 28% / 27%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Armenio - Reserves win (27.1%)Dubbele Kans1X72.9%1.37
Boven 39% · Onder 61%Goals 2.5Onder61%1.64
Ja 43% · Nee 57%Beide teams scorenNee57%1.75
2.25 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapDeportivo Armenio - Reserves winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportivo Merlo - Reserves win45%2.222.0044.8%+0.2 pp
Gelijkspel28%3.573.2527.6%+0.4 pp
Deportivo Armenio - Reserves win27%3.703.2527.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Merlo - Reserves1.42

Thuis share of expected goals 63.1%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 39% · Onder 61%

Deportivo Armenio - Reserves0.83

Uit share of expected goals 36.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 43% · Nee 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Deportivo Merlo - Reserves

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Deportivo Armenio - Reserves

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
27%
3
Points from supplied form
7
1.42
Expected goals
0.83
Deportivo Merlo - ReservesDeportivo Armenio - Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Merlo - Reserves signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Armenio - Reserves signalThuis failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Deportivo Merlo - Reserves vs Deportivo Armenio - Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Merlo - Reserves gewonnen 45%,Gelijkspel 28%,Deportivo Armenio - Reserves gewonnen 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · Boven 2.5 39% · Current selection Onder