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ARG Argentinië - Reservecompetitie · Wedstrijd ·

Defensores Unidos - Reserves vs CA Ituzaingo - Reserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.13 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst45%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst29%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst45% selection probability
Projected score2–1Defensores Unidos - ReservesCA Ituzaingo - Reserves
Expected goals3.13Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven61% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
45% / 26% / 29%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Dubbele Kans1274.4%1.34
Boven 61% · Onder 39%Goals 2.5Boven61%1.64
Ja 62% · Nee 38%Beide teams scorenJa62%1.61
3.13 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Defensores Unidos - Reserves win45%2.222.0045.1%-0.1 pp
Gelijkspel26%3.853.5025.8%+0.2 pp
CA Ituzaingo - Reserves win29%3.453.1029.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Defensores Unidos - Reserves1.74

Thuis share of expected goals 55.6%

Total expected goals3.13Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 61% · Onder 39%

CA Ituzaingo - Reserves1.39

Uit share of expected goals 44.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 62% · Nee 38%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Defensores Unidos - Reserves

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis failed to score: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

CA Ituzaingo - Reserves

0.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Punten0

SignalUit matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
29%
3
Points from supplied form
0
1.74
Expected goals
1.39
Defensores Unidos - ReservesCA Ituzaingo - Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Defensores Unidos - Reserves signalThuis failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Ituzaingo - Reserves signalUit matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Defensores Unidos - Reserves vs CA Ituzaingo - Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Defensores Unidos - Reserves gewonnen 45%,Gelijkspel 26%,CA Ituzaingo - Reserves gewonnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.13 · Boven 2.5 61% · Current selection Boven