Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
52% / 23% / 25%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.2%)Dubbele Kans1276.8%1.30
Boven 60% · Onder 40%Goals 2.5Boven60%1.67
Ja 62% · Nee 38%Beide teams scorenJa62%1.61
3.11 total expected goalsExacte score1–2——
10.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapBasel winDifference-1.6 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Basel win52%1.921.7553.6%-1.6 pp
Gelijkspel23%4.354.1022.9%+0.1 pp
FC Thun win25%4.004.0023.5%+1.5 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 44.7%
Total expected goals3.11Openen
Dedicated goals model: Boven 60% · Onder 40%
Uit share of expected goals 55.3%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 62% · Nee 38%Match profileOpenen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchBasel
LWDWL
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7
SignalThuis clean sheets: 3/5
Uit-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchFC Thun
WLDWD
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8
SignalUit unbeaten 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
52%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
25%7
Points from supplied form
81.39
Expected goals
1.72BaselFC Thun
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.
Match questions
Basel vs FC Thun FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–2 · 52% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Basel gewonnen 52%，Gelijkspel 23%，FC Thun gewonnen 25%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.11 · Boven 2.5 60% · Current selection Boven。