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CHE スイス スーパーリーグ · 試合 ·

バーゼル vs FCトゥーン

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–23.11 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利52%
引き分け23%
アウェイ勝利25%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利52% selection probability
Projected score1–2バーゼルFCトゥーン
Expected goals3.11始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー60% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい62% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
52% / 23% / 25%試合結果ホーム勝利52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.2%)ダブルチャンス1276.8%1.30
オーバー 60% · アンダー 40%Goals 2.5オーバー60%1.67
はい 62% · いいえ 38%両チーム得点はい62%1.61
3.11 total expected goals正確なスコア1–2
10.7 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapバーゼル winDifference-1.6 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
バーゼル win52%1.921.7553.6%-1.6 pp
引き分け23%4.354.1022.9%+0.1 pp
FCトゥーン win25%4.004.0023.5%+1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

バーゼル1.39

ホーム share of expected goals 44.7%

Total expected goals3.11始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 60% · アンダー 40%

FCトゥーン1.72

アウェイ share of expected goals 55.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitはい 62% · いいえ 38%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

バーゼル

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム clean sheets: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

FCトゥーン

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalアウェイ unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
勝ち probability excluding draw
25%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.39
Expected goals
1.72
バーゼルFCトゥーン
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01バーゼル signalホーム clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FCトゥーン signalアウェイ unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

バーゼル vs FCトゥーン FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

バーゼル 勝ち 52%,引き分け 23%,FCトゥーン 勝ち 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · オーバー 2.5 60% · Current selection オーバー