Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
52% / 23% / 25%Esito partitaVittoria casa52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.2%)Doppia Chance1276.8%1.30
Sopra 60% · Sotto 40%Goals 2.5Sopra60%1.67
Sì 62% · No 38%Entrambe le squadre segnanoSì62%1.61
3.11 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–2——
10.7 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapBasilea winDifference-1.6 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Basilea win52%1.921.7553.6%-1.6 pp
Pareggio23%4.354.1022.9%+0.1 pp
Thun win25%4.004.0023.5%+1.5 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 44.7%
Total expected goals3.11Apertura
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 60% · Sotto 40%
Trasferta share of expected goals 55.3%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitSì 62% · No 38%Match profileApertura
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchBasilea
LWDWL
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7
SignalCasa clean sheets: 3/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchThun
WLDWD
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8
SignalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
52%
Vinta probability excluding draw
25%7
Points from supplied form
81.39
Expected goals
1.72BasileaThun
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 23%.
Match questions
Basilea vs Thun FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–2 · 52% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Basilea vinta 52%，Pareggio 23%，Thun vinta 25%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.11 · Sopra 2.5 60% · Current selection Sopra。