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CHE Switzerland Super League · Мач ·

Базел vs Тюн

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–23.11 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина52%
Равен23%
Победа за госта25%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина52% selection probability
Projected score1–2БазелТюн
Expected goals3.11Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над60% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа62% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
52% / 23% / 25%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.2%)Двоен шанс1276.8%1.30
Над 60% · Под 40%Goals 2.5Над60%1.67
Да 62% · Не 38%И двата отбора да отбележатДа62%1.61
3.11 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–2
10.7 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapБазел winDifference-1.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Базел win52%1.921.7553.6%-1.6 pp
Равен23%4.354.1022.9%+0.1 pp
Тюн win25%4.004.0023.5%+1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Базел1.39

Домакин share of expected goals 44.7%

Total expected goals3.11Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 60% · Под 40%

Тюн1.72

Гост share of expected goals 55.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 62% · Не 38%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Базел

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Тюн

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalГост unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
25%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.39
Expected goals
1.72
БазелТюн
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Базел signalДомакин clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Тюн signalГост unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Базел vs Тюн FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Базел печеливш 52%,Равен 23%,Тюн печеливш 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · Над 2.5 60% · Current selection Над