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CHE Switzerland Super League · Mérkőzés ·

Basel vs FC Thun

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–23.14 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem32%
Döntetlen27%
Vendég győzelem41%
Full model forecastVendég győzelemTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVendég győzelem41% selection probability
Projected score1–2BaselFC Thun
Expected goals3.14Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett61% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
32% / 27% / 41%Mérkőzés eredményeVendég győzelem41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27%)Dupla esély1273%1.37
Felett 61% · Alatt 39%Goals 2.5Felett61%1.64
Igen 63% · Nem 37%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen63%1.59
3.14 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–2
10.8 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nem snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityValós odds
Basel win32%3.13
Döntetlen27%3.70
FC Thun win41%2.44

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Basel1.41

Hazai share of expected goals 44.9%

Total expected goals3.14Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 61% · Alatt 39%

FC Thun1.73

Vendég share of expected goals 55.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitIgen 63% · Nem 37%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Basel

1.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontok7

SignalHazai clean sheets: 3/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

FC Thun

1.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontok8

SignalVendég unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Nyert probability excluding draw
41%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.41
Expected goals
1.73
BaselFC Thun
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Basel signalHazai clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Thun signalVendég unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Basel vs FC Thun FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vendég győzelem · Projected score 1–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Basel nyer 32%,Döntetlen 27%,FC Thun nyer 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · 2.5 felett 61% · Current selection Felett