Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
58% / 24% / 18%Match resultHome win58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sarasota Paradise win (17.7%)Double chance1X82.3%1.22
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 37% · No 63%Both teams scoreNo63%1.59
2.71 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapOne Knoxville SC winDifference+1.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
One Knoxville SC win58%1.721.6056.1%+1.9 pp
Draw24%4.173.6025%-1.0 pp
Sarasota Paradise win18%5.564.7518.9%-0.9 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 80.1%
Total expected goals2.71Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%
Away share of expected goals 19.9%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 37% · No 63%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchOne Knoxville SC
LLLWW
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchSarasota Paradise
DDLWL
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalAway clean sheets: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
58%
Win probability excluding draw
18%6
Points from supplied form
52.17
Expected goals
0.54One Knoxville SCSarasota Paradise
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.
Match questions
One Knoxville SC vs Sarasota Paradise FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
One Knoxville SC win 58%，Draw 24%，Sarasota Paradise win 18%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.71 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over。