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USA USA USL League One · Мач ·

СК Уан Ноксвил vs Сарасота Парадайз

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.71 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина58%
Равен24%
Победа за госта18%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина58% selection probability
Projected score2–1СК Уан НоксвилСарасота Парадайз
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над51% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
58% / 24% / 18%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Сарасота Парадайз win (17.7%)Двоен шанс1X82.3%1.22
Над 51% · Под 49%Goals 2.5Над51%1.96
Да 37% · Не 63%И двата отбора да отбележатНе63%1.59
2.71 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.9 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapСК Уан Ноксвил winDifference+1.9 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
СК Уан Ноксвил win58%1.721.6056.1%+1.9 pp
Равен24%4.173.6025%-1.0 pp
Сарасота Парадайз win18%5.564.7518.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

СК Уан Ноксвил2.17

Домакин share of expected goals 80.1%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 51% · Под 49%

Сарасота Парадайз0.54

Гост share of expected goals 19.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 37% · Не 63%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

СК Уан Ноксвил

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Сарасота Парадайз

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalГост clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
18%
6
Points from supplied form
5
2.17
Expected goals
0.54
СК Уан НоксвилСарасота Парадайз
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01СК Уан Ноксвил signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Сарасота Парадайз signalГост clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

СК Уан Ноксвил vs Сарасота Парадайз FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

СК Уан Ноксвил печеливш 58%,Равен 24%,Сарасота Парадайз печеливш 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · Над 2.5 51% · Current selection Над