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USA USA USL League One · Матч ·

Уан Ноксвилл vs Сарасота Пэрэдайз

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.71 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев58%
Ничья24%
Победа гостей18%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев58% selection probability
Projected score2–1Уан НоксвиллСарасота Пэрэдайз
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше51% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
58% / 24% / 18%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Сарасота Пэрэдайз win (17.7%)Двойной шанс1X82.3%1.22
Больше 51% · Меньше 49%Goals 2.5Больше51%1.96
Да 37% · Нет 63%Обе забьютНет63%1.59
2.71 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.9 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapУан Ноксвилл winDifference+1.9 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Уан Ноксвилл win58%1.721.6056.1%+1.9 pp
Ничья24%4.173.6025%-1.0 pp
Сарасота Пэрэдайз win18%5.564.7518.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Уан Ноксвилл2.17

Хозяева share of expected goals 80.1%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 51% · Меньше 49%

Сарасота Пэрэдайз0.54

Гости share of expected goals 19.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 37% · Нет 63%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Уан Ноксвилл

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Сарасота Пэрэдайз

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalГости clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
18%
6
Points from supplied form
5
2.17
Expected goals
0.54
Уан НоксвиллСарасота Пэрэдайз
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Уан Ноксвилл signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Сарасота Пэрэдайз signalГости clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Уан Ноксвилл vs Сарасота Пэрэдайз FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Уан Ноксвилл выигрыш 58%,Ничья 24%,Сарасота Пэрэдайз выигрыш 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · ТБ 2.5 51% · Current selection Больше