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USA USA USL League One · Матч ·

Шарлотт Индепенденс vs СК Гринвилл Триум

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score3–14.21 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев59%
Ничья22%
Победа гостей19%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев59% selection probability
Projected score3–1Шарлотт ИндепенденсСК Гринвилл Триум
Expected goals4.21Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше79% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
59% / 22% / 19%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes СК Гринвилл Триум win (18.9%)Двойной шанс1X81.1%1.23
Больше 79% · Меньше 21%Goals 2.5Больше79%1.27
Да 64% · Нет 36%Обе забьютДа64%1.56
4.21 total expected goalsТочный счёт3–1
10.0 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapШарлотт Индепенденс winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Шарлотт Индепенденс win59%1.691.5557.7%+1.3 pp
Ничья22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
СК Гринвилл Триум win19%5.264.5019.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Шарлотт Индепенденс3.10

Хозяева share of expected goals 73.6%

Total expected goals4.21Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 79% · Меньше 21%

СК Гринвилл Триум1.11

Гости share of expected goals 26.4%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitДа 64% · Нет 36%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Шарлотт Индепенденс

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

СК Гринвилл Триум

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
19%
7
Points from supplied form
5
3.10
Expected goals
1.11
Шарлотт ИндепенденсСК Гринвилл Триум
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Шарлотт Индепенденс signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02СК Гринвилл Триум signalХозяева won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Шарлотт Индепенденс vs СК Гринвилл Триум FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 3–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Шарлотт Индепенденс выигрыш 59%,Ничья 22%,СК Гринвилл Триум выигрыш 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.21 · ТБ 2.5 79% · Current selection Больше