Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
59% / 22% / 19%Match resultHome win59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Greenville Triumph SC win (18.9%)Double chance1X81.1%1.23
Over 79% · Under 21%Goals 2.5Over79%1.27
Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56
4.21 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1——
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapCharlotte Independence winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Charlotte Independence win59%1.691.5557.7%+1.3 pp
Draw22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
Greenville Triumph SC win19%5.264.5019.9%-0.9 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 73.6%
Total expected goals4.21Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 79% · Under 21%
Away share of expected goals 26.4%
Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchCharlotte Independence
WWLLD
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchGreenville Triumph SC
DWLLD
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome won 2/3 recent home matches
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
59%
Win probability excluding draw
19%7
Points from supplied form
53.10
Expected goals
1.11Charlotte IndependenceGreenville Triumph SC
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.
Match questions
Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph SC FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 59% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Charlotte Independence win 59%，Draw 22%，Greenville Triumph SC win 19%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 4.21 · Over 2.5 79% · Current selection Over。