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USA USA USL League One · Мач ·

Шарлот Индипендънс vs Грийнвил Триумф

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score3–14.21 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина59%
Равен22%
Победа за госта19%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина59% selection probability
Projected score3–1Шарлот ИндипендънсГрийнвил Триумф
Expected goals4.21Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над79% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
59% / 22% / 19%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Грийнвил Триумф win (18.9%)Двоен шанс1X81.1%1.23
Над 79% · Под 21%Goals 2.5Над79%1.27
Да 64% · Не 36%И двата отбора да отбележатДа64%1.56
4.21 total expected goalsТочен резултат3–1
10.0 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapШарлот Индипендънс winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Шарлот Индипендънс win59%1.691.5557.7%+1.3 pp
Равен22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
Грийнвил Триумф win19%5.264.5019.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Шарлот Индипендънс3.10

Домакин share of expected goals 73.6%

Total expected goals4.21Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 79% · Под 21%

Грийнвил Триумф1.11

Гост share of expected goals 26.4%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitДа 64% · Не 36%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Шарлот Индипендънс

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Грийнвил Триумф

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalДомакин won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
19%
7
Points from supplied form
5
3.10
Expected goals
1.11
Шарлот ИндипендънсГрийнвил Триумф
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Шарлот Индипендънс signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Грийнвил Триумф signalДомакин won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Шарлот Индипендънс vs Грийнвил Триумф FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 3–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Шарлот Индипендънс печеливш 59%,Равен 22%,Грийнвил Триумф печеливш 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.21 · Над 2.5 79% · Current selection Над