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USA USA USL League One · Match ·

Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph SC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score3–14.21 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile59%
Nul22%
Victoire à l’extérieur19%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile59% selection probability
Projected score3–1Charlotte IndependenceGreenville Triumph SC
Expected goals4.21Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de79% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
59% / 22% / 19%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Greenville Triumph SC win (18.9%)Double chance1X81.1%1.23
Plus de 79% · Moins de 21%Goals 2.5Plus de79%1.27
Oui 64% · Non 36%Les deux équipes marquentOui64%1.56
4.21 total expected goalsScore exact3–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapCharlotte Independence winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Charlotte Independence win59%1.691.5557.7%+1.3 pp
Nul22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
Greenville Triumph SC win19%5.264.5019.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Charlotte Independence3.10

Domicile share of expected goals 73.6%

Total expected goals4.21Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 79% · Moins de 21%

Greenville Triumph SC1.11

Extérieur share of expected goals 26.4%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitOui 64% · Non 36%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Charlotte Independence

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Greenville Triumph SC

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Gagné probability excluding draw
19%
7
Points from supplied form
5
3.10
Expected goals
1.11
Charlotte IndependenceGreenville Triumph SC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Charlotte Independence signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Greenville Triumph SC signalDomicile won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph SC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 3–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Charlotte Independence victoire 59%,Nul 22%,Greenville Triumph SC victoire 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.21 · Plus de 2.5 79% · Current selection Plus de