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USA USA USL League One · Maç ·

Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph SC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score3–14.21 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır55%
Beraberlik23%
Deplasman kazanır22%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır55% selection probability
Projected score3–1Charlotte IndependenceGreenville Triumph SC
Expected goals4.21Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst79% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
55% / 23% / 22%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Greenville Triumph SC win (22.3%)Çifte Şans1X77.7%1.29
Üst 79% · Alt 21%Goals 2.5Üst79%1.27
Evet 64% · Hayır 36%Karşılıklı gol varEvet64%1.56
4.21 total expected goalsDoğru skor3–1
10.0 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapCharlotte Independence winDifference+2.2 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Charlotte Independence win55%1.821.7052.8%+2.2 pp
Beraberlik23%4.353.8023.6%-0.6 pp
Greenville Triumph SC win22%4.553.8023.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Charlotte Independence3.10

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 73.6%

Total expected goals4.21Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 79% · Alt 21%

Greenville Triumph SC1.11

Deplasman share of expected goals 26.4%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitEvet 64% · Hayır 36%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Charlotte Independence

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puan7

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Greenville Triumph SC

1.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puan5

SignalEv Sahibi won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
22%
7
Points from supplied form
5
3.10
Expected goals
1.11
Charlotte IndependenceGreenville Triumph SC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Charlotte Independence signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Greenville Triumph SC signalEv Sahibi won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph SC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 3–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Charlotte Independence kazanç 55%,Beraberlik 23%,Greenville Triumph SC kazanç 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.21 · 2.5 Üst 79% · Current selection Üst