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USA USA USL League One · Fixture ·

New York Cosmos vs Spokane Velocity FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.51 expected goals
Away form
Home win19%
Draw24%
Away win57%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win57% selection probability
Projected score1–2New York CosmosSpokane Velocity FC
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
19% / 24% / 57%Match resultAway win57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes New York Cosmos win (19.3%)Double chanceX280.7%1.24
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Yes 50% · No 50%Both teams scoreNo50%2.00
2.51 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapSpokane Velocity FC winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
New York Cosmos win19%5.264.7518.8%+0.2 pp
Draw24%4.173.8023.5%+0.5 pp
Spokane Velocity FC win57%1.751.5557.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

New York Cosmos1.01

Home share of expected goals 40.2%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%

Spokane Velocity FC1.50

Away share of expected goals 59.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

New York Cosmos

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Spokane Velocity FC

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalAway won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
19%
Win probability excluding draw
57%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.01
Expected goals
1.50
New York CosmosSpokane Velocity FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01New York Cosmos signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Spokane Velocity FC signalAway won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

New York Cosmos vs Spokane Velocity FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

New York Cosmos win 19%,Draw 24%,Spokane Velocity FC win 57%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under