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USA USA USL League One · Αγώνας ·

Ουάν Νόξβιλ SC vs Σαρασότα Πάρανταϊς

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–12.71 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου58%
Ισοπαλία24%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου18%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου58% selection probability
Projected score2–1Ουάν Νόξβιλ SCΣαρασότα Πάρανταϊς
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω51% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
58% / 24% / 18%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Σαρασότα Πάρανταϊς win (17.7%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X82.3%1.22
Άνω 51% · Κάτω 49%Goals 2.5Άνω51%1.96
Ναι 37% · Όχι 63%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι63%1.59
2.71 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
9.9 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapΟυάν Νόξβιλ SC winDifference+1.9 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ουάν Νόξβιλ SC win58%1.721.6056.1%+1.9 pp
Ισοπαλία24%4.173.6025%-1.0 pp
Σαρασότα Πάρανταϊς win18%5.564.7518.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ουάν Νόξβιλ SC2.17

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 80.1%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 51% · Κάτω 49%

Σαρασότα Πάρανταϊς0.54

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 19.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 37% · Όχι 63%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Ουάν Νόξβιλ SC

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Πόντοι6

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Σαρασότα Πάρανταϊς

1.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Πόντοι5

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
18%
6
Points from supplied form
5
2.17
Expected goals
0.54
Ουάν Νόξβιλ SCΣαρασότα Πάρανταϊς
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ουάν Νόξβιλ SC signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Σαρασότα Πάρανταϊς signalΦιλοξενούμενος clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Ουάν Νόξβιλ SC vs Σαρασότα Πάρανταϊς FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ουάν Νόξβιλ SC νίκη 58%,Ισοπαλία 24%,Σαρασότα Πάρανταϊς νίκη 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · Άνω 2.5 51% · Current selection Άνω