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USA 美国足球甲级联赛 · 比賽 ·

諾克斯維爾統一SC vs 薩拉索塔天堂

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.71 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝58%
24%
客勝18%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝58% selection probability
Projected score2–1諾克斯維爾統一SC薩拉索塔天堂
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.551% for the selected side
雙方進球63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
58% / 24% / 18%比賽結果主勝58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 薩拉索塔天堂 win (17.7%)雙重機會1X82.3%1.22
大 51% · 小 49%Goals 2.551%1.96
是 37% · 否 63%雙方進球63%1.59
2.71 total expected goals正確比分2–1
9.9 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gap諾克斯維爾統一SC winDifference+1.9 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
諾克斯維爾統一SC win58%1.721.6056.1%+1.9 pp
24%4.173.6025%-1.0 pp
薩拉索塔天堂 win18%5.564.7518.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

諾克斯維爾統一SC2.17

主隊 share of expected goals 80.1%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 51% · 49%

薩拉索塔天堂0.54

客隊 share of expected goals 19.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 37% · 63%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

諾克斯維爾統一SC

1.20pts / match
5Wins2Drawn0Losses3積分6

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

薩拉索塔天堂

1.00pts / match
5Wins1Drawn2Losses2積分5

Signal客隊 clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
贏 probability excluding draw
18%
6
Points from supplied form
5
2.17
Expected goals
0.54
諾克斯維爾統一SC薩拉索塔天堂
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01諾克斯維爾統一SC signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02薩拉索塔天堂 signal客隊 clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

諾克斯維爾統一SC vs 薩拉索塔天堂 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

諾克斯維爾統一SC 58%, 24%,薩拉索塔天堂 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · 大2.5 51% · Current selection