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USA USA USL League One · Zápas ·

One Knoxville SC vs Sarasota Paradise

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–12.71 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich58%
Remíza24%
Výhra hostí18%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich58% selection probability
Projected score2–1One Knoxville SCSarasota Paradise
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac51% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
58% / 24% / 18%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sarasota Paradise win (17.7%)Dvojitá šanca1X82.3%1.22
Viac 51% · Menej 49%Goals 2.5Viac51%1.96
Áno 37% · Nie 63%Oba tímy skórujúNie63%1.59
2.71 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
9.9 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapOne Knoxville SC winDifference+1.9 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
One Knoxville SC win58%1.721.6056.1%+1.9 pp
Remíza24%4.173.6025%-1.0 pp
Sarasota Paradise win18%5.564.7518.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

One Knoxville SC2.17

Domáci share of expected goals 80.1%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 51% · Menej 49%

Sarasota Paradise0.54

Hostia share of expected goals 19.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 37% · Nie 63%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

One Knoxville SC

1.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Body6

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Sarasota Paradise

1.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Body5

SignalHostia clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Výhra probability excluding draw
18%
6
Points from supplied form
5
2.17
Expected goals
0.54
One Knoxville SCSarasota Paradise
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01One Knoxville SC signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sarasota Paradise signalHostia clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

One Knoxville SC vs Sarasota Paradise FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

One Knoxville SC výhra 58%,Remíza 24%,Sarasota Paradise výhra 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · Viac 2.5 51% · Current selection Viac