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USA USA USL League One · Spiel ·

One Knoxville SC vs Sarasota Paradise

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.71 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg58%
Unentschieden24%
Auswärtssieg18%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg58% selection probability
Projected score2–1One Knoxville SCSarasota Paradise
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über51% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
58% / 24% / 18%SpielergebnisHeimsieg58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sarasota Paradise win (17.7%)Doppelte Chance1X82.3%1.22
Über 51% · Unter 49%Goals 2.5Über51%1.96
Ja 37% · Nein 63%Beide Teams treffenNein63%1.59
2.71 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.9 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapOne Knoxville SC winDifference+1.9 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
One Knoxville SC win58%1.721.6056.1%+1.9 pp
Unentschieden24%4.173.6025%-1.0 pp
Sarasota Paradise win18%5.564.7518.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

One Knoxville SC2.17

Heim share of expected goals 80.1%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 51% · Unter 49%

Sarasota Paradise0.54

Auswärts share of expected goals 19.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 37% · Nein 63%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

One Knoxville SC

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Sarasota Paradise

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalAuswärts clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
18%
6
Points from supplied form
5
2.17
Expected goals
0.54
One Knoxville SCSarasota Paradise
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01One Knoxville SC signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sarasota Paradise signalAuswärts clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

One Knoxville SC vs Sarasota Paradise FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

One Knoxville SC Gewinn 58%,Unentschieden 24%,Sarasota Paradise Gewinn 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · Über 2.5 51% · Current selection Über