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USA USA USL League One · Spiel ·

AC Boise vs Forward Madison FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–23.18 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg42%
Unentschieden27%
Auswärtssieg30%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg42% selection probability
Projected score2–2AC BoiseForward Madison FC
Expected goals3.18Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über62% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
42% / 27% / 30%SpielergebnisHeimsieg42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Doppelte Chance1272.7%1.38
Über 62% · Unter 38%Goals 2.5Über62%1.61
Ja 64% · Nein 36%Beide Teams treffenJa64%1.56
3.18 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–2
10.4 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapAC Boise winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AC Boise win42%2.382.1042.6%-0.6 pp
Unentschieden27%3.703.2527.5%-0.5 pp
Forward Madison FC win30%3.333.0029.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AC Boise1.64

Heim share of expected goals 51.6%

Total expected goals3.18Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 62% · Unter 38%

Forward Madison FC1.54

Auswärts share of expected goals 48.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 64% · Nein 36%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

AC Boise

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Forward Madison FC

3.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punkte15

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
30%
10
Points from supplied form
15
1.64
Expected goals
1.54
AC BoiseForward Madison FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AC Boise signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Forward Madison FC signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

AC Boise vs Forward Madison FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AC Boise Gewinn 42%,Unentschieden 27%,Forward Madison FC Gewinn 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.18 · Über 2.5 62% · Current selection Über