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USA USA USL League One · Trận đấu ·

One Knoxville SC vs Sarasota Paradise

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–12.71 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng58%
Hòa24%
Đội khách thắng18%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng58% selection probability
Projected score2–1One Knoxville SCSarasota Paradise
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Tài51% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
58% / 24% / 18%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sarasota Paradise win (17.7%)Cơ hội kép1X82.3%1.22
Tài 51% · Xỉu 49%Goals 2.5Tài51%1.96
Có 37% · Không 63%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông63%1.59
2.71 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–1
9.9 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapOne Knoxville SC winDifference+1.9 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
One Knoxville SC win58%1.721.6056.1%+1.9 pp
Hòa24%4.173.6025%-1.0 pp
Sarasota Paradise win18%5.564.7518.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

One Knoxville SC2.17

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 80.1%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 51% · Xỉu 49%

Sarasota Paradise0.54

Khách share of expected goals 19.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 37% · Không 63%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

One Knoxville SC

1.20pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Điểm6

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Sarasota Paradise

1.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Điểm5

SignalKhách clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Thắng probability excluding draw
18%
6
Points from supplied form
5
2.17
Expected goals
0.54
One Knoxville SCSarasota Paradise
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01One Knoxville SC signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sarasota Paradise signalKhách clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

One Knoxville SC vs Sarasota Paradise FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

One Knoxville SC thắng 58%,Hòa 24%,Sarasota Paradise thắng 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · Tài 2.5 51% · Current selection Tài