Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
41% / 33% / 26%Match resultHome win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cerro win (26%)Double chance1X74%1.35
Over 26% · Under 74%Goals 2.5Under74%1.35
Yes 34% · No 66%Both teams scoreNo66%1.52
1.78 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Danubio win41%2.44
Draw33%3.03
Cerro win26%3.85
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 61.2%
Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 26% · Under 74%
Away share of expected goals 38.8%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 34% · No 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchDanubio
WWLDD
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.20pts / matchCerro
DDWWW
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
41%
Win probability excluding draw
26%8
Points from supplied form
111.09
Expected goals
0.69DanubioCerro
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 33%.
Match questions
Danubio vs Cerro FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Danubio win 41%，Draw 33%，Cerro win 26%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.78 · Over 2.5 26% · Current selection Under。