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URY Ουρουγουάη - Κλαουσούρα · Αγώνας ·

Ντανούμπιο vs Σέρο

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–11.78 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου41%
Ισοπαλία33%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου26%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου41% selection probability
Projected score1–1ΝτανούμπιοΣέρο
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω74% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι66% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
41% / 33% / 26%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Σέρο win (25.9%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X74.1%1.35
Άνω 26% · Κάτω 74%Goals 2.5Κάτω74%1.35
Ναι 34% · Όχι 66%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι66%1.52
1.78 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
8.6 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Ντανούμπιο win41%2.44
Ισοπαλία33%3.03
Σέρο win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ντανούμπιο1.09

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 61.2%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 26% · Κάτω 74%

Σέρο0.69

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 38.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 34% · Όχι 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Ντανούμπιο

1.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Πόντοι8

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Σέρο

2.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Πόντοι11

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
26%
8
Points from supplied form
11
1.09
Expected goals
0.69
ΝτανούμπιοΣέρο
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ντανούμπιο signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Σέρο signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Ντανούμπιο vs Σέρο FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ντανούμπιο νίκη 41%,Ισοπαλία 33%,Σέρο νίκη 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · Άνω 2.5 26% · Current selection Κάτω