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URY Urugwaj - Clausura · Mecz ·

Danubio vs Cerro

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–11.77 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy40%
Remis33%
Wygrana gości26%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy40% selection probability
Projected score1–1DanubioCerro
Expected goals1.77Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej74% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
40% / 33% / 26%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cerro win (26.3%)Podwójna szansa1X73.7%1.36
Powyżej 26% · Poniżej 74%Goals 2.5Poniżej74%1.35
Tak 33% · Nie 67%Obie drużyny strzeląNie67%1.49
1.77 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
8.6 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Danubio win40%2.50
Remis33%3.03
Cerro win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Danubio1.07

Gospodarze share of expected goals 60.5%

Total expected goals1.77Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 26% · Poniżej 74%

Cerro0.70

Goście share of expected goals 39.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 33% · Nie 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Danubio

1.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkty8

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Cerro

2.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkty11

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
26%
8
Points from supplied form
11
1.07
Expected goals
0.70
DanubioCerro
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Danubio signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cerro signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Danubio vs Cerro FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Danubio wygrana 40%,Remis 33%,Cerro wygrana 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.77 · Powyżej 2.5 26% · Current selection Poniżej