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URY Urugwaj - Clausura · Mecz ·

Montevideo City Torque vs Penarol

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–22.93 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy31%
Remis27%
Wygrana gości42%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości42% selection probability
Projected score1–2Montevideo City TorquePenarol
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej56% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
31% / 27% / 42%Wynik meczuWygrana gości42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Podwójna szansa1273.2%1.37
Powyżej 56% · Poniżej 44%Goals 2.5Powyżej56%1.79
Tak 59% · Nie 41%Obie drużyny strzeląTak59%1.69
2.93 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–2
9.2 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.3%Largest probability gapPenarol winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Montevideo City Torque win31%3.233.0030.5%+0.5 pp
Remis27%3.703.4026.9%+0.1 pp
Penarol win42%2.382.1542.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Montevideo City Torque1.39

Gospodarze share of expected goals 47.4%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 56% · Poniżej 44%

Penarol1.54

Goście share of expected goals 52.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitTak 59% · Nie 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Montevideo City Torque

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Penarol

0.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkty2

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
42%
10
Points from supplied form
2
1.39
Expected goals
1.54
Montevideo City TorquePenarol
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Montevideo City Torque signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Penarol signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Montevideo City Torque vs Penarol FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Montevideo City Torque wygrana 31%,Remis 27%,Penarol wygrana 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Powyżej 2.5 56% · Current selection Powyżej