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URY Uruguaj - Clausura · Zápas ·

Montevideo City Torque vs Penarol

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–22.93 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich31%
Remíza27%
Výhra hostí42%
Full model forecastVýhra hostíTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostí42% selection probability
Projected score1–2Montevideo City TorquePenarol
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac56% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
31% / 27% / 42%Výsledok zápasuVýhra hostí42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Dvojitá šanca1273.2%1.37
Viac 56% · Menej 44%Goals 2.5Viac56%1.79
Áno 59% · Nie 41%Oba tímy skórujúÁno59%1.69
2.93 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–2
9.2 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.3%Largest probability gapPenarol winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Montevideo City Torque win31%3.233.0030.5%+0.5 pp
Remíza27%3.703.4026.9%+0.1 pp
Penarol win42%2.382.1542.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Montevideo City Torque1.39

Domáci share of expected goals 47.4%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 56% · Menej 44%

Penarol1.54

Hostia share of expected goals 52.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitÁno 59% · Nie 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Montevideo City Torque

2.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Penarol

0.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Body2

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Výhra probability excluding draw
42%
10
Points from supplied form
2
1.39
Expected goals
1.54
Montevideo City TorquePenarol
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Montevideo City Torque signalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Penarol signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Montevideo City Torque vs Penarol FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostí · Projected score 1–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Montevideo City Torque výhra 31%,Remíza 27%,Penarol výhra 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Viac 2.5 56% · Current selection Viac